Interesting Lead Up To Presential Election 2012

The good ‘ol US of A goes back to the polls in November 2012 in what is shaping up as a very interesting contest. Barack Obama has gone from being the most popular President on record to an approval rating of just 39%.

The opposition GOP Republican Party have assembled a Melbourne Cup size field of candidates seeking the nod to take on Obama next year in the race to the White house.

So far there are 18 confirmed candidates, 10 yet to declare, 1 early scratching and 8 or 9 who have formally declined the invitation to run.

A lot can happen in politics over a 16 month long campaign, but there will be plenty of press coverage in print and media between now and then. I think the GOPs smell blood with Barack Obama so low in the opinion polls, but unlike some of our pollies – he is a magnificent orator and once he starts making speeches at rallies across America, it could be a close run thing.

One area of interest has been the rise of the Tea Party, a group of right wing activists that has gained enormous support amongst some of the sitting republican party members and is having an increasing say in American politics. It will be an interesting side fight on which group – the Tea Party extreme right or the more neutral centre right of the Republican Party- holds sway with the respective candidates…

here is a guide to the likely (early) front runners seeking republican leadership…

Michele Bachmann
U.S. Representative from Minnesota

Michele Bachmann, the three terms Republican Congresswoman from Minnesota, is the current chair of the Congressional Tea Party Caucus. Bachmann started off her political life as a Democrat before switching to the Republican platform in her final year at Winona State University.

Michele won the crucial Iowa State Fair vote recently, surprising a few good judges. She represents a good value bet at odds and has time to train up to peak performance.

Mitt Romney
Former Governor of Massachusetts

Right from the moment John McCain lost the 2008 election to Barack Obama, Romney has emerged as the clear favourite for the Republican 2012 presidential nominee.

The harvard man has been comfortably leading every poll since then. Unless Bachmann, huntsman, Pawlenty and company start to make ground soon, the liberal turned conservative former Governor of Massachusetts may just walk through the primaries. While his ideology and personal beliefs may be subject to debate, his knack for business is beyond question.

The early favourite who chose not to contest at the Iowa State Vote that Bachmann won, Mitt would still be the short priced fav. with the bookies. Not a member of the Tea Party, if their political sway strengthens he may begin to slide from favouritism. Don’t leave out.

Rick Perry
Current Governor of Texas

After almost two years of uncertainty, Texas Governor Rick Perry’s wall of resistance has crumbled. his candidacy is expected to reinvigorate the hitherto subdued Republican evangelical grassroots, and inject some excitement into the contest.

Declared starter after the Iowa State vote, Rick took over in Texas from GW Bush’s brother, Jep 2 years ago. Given that two of the past four President’s have come from Texas, he has solid breeding lines and will be lively in debates. Don’t leave out of your multiple bets but place chance looks best.

Sarah Palin
Former Governor of Alaska

Despite receiving some of the most unfavourable press coverage among all of her potential Republican competitors, Palin just refuses to disappear. While not actually leading, Palin remains one of the most supported candidates in almost all presidential polls conducted over the past year – and this is without any form of

Despite receiving some of the most unfavourable press coverage among all of her potential Republican competitors, Palin just refuses to disappear. While not actually leading, Palin remains one of the most supported candidates in almost all presidential polls conducted over the past year – and this is without any form of campaign machinery in place. The supporters of the Tea Party darling have even coined a term for themselves, Palinistas, befitting her rock-star status in the speaking circuit. Sarah is yet to formally nominate for the race.

Sarah’s taking an unusual route and has been running a parallel campaign, having had her own reality TV series with the family and is nor circumnavigating America on the Palin ‘One Nation’ Bus tour. She even showed up at the Iowa State
Fair but was not a part of the
straw poll.

Sarah is a handy type and a crowd favourite, often maligned for leading off on the wrong foot – she seems to recover and always be there about at the end of the race. Could be biding her time to see if Michele gains sufficient support and if so, Sarah may withdraw and throw her considerable support behind Bachmann. If she is a late starter do not discount as this is her ‘pet’ event, each way chance.

The GOP Republican race will be fascinating and will produce some memorable moments, think of it along the lines of a Geelong Cup – good form guide for the main race (Melbourne Cup) and it has produced some winners over the years that have won the big one…stay tuned.

Speak Your Mind

*